Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.131014 0.154118 0.179942 0.210922 0.247063 0.287874 0.337444
2025-11-09 0.091539 0.119773 0.154666 0.200879 0.260405 0.334427 0.433413
2025-11-16 0.072517 0.102725 0.142953 0.200279 0.279710 0.385716 0.537783
2025-11-23 0.058286 0.088188 0.130548 0.194673 0.289011 0.422404 0.625036
2025-11-30 0.050418 0.080752 0.126078 0.198349 0.310277 0.476549 0.741755
2025-12-07 0.043474 0.073308 0.120083 0.198233 0.324977 0.521759 0.849601
2025-12-14 0.037009 0.065454 0.112078 0.193410 0.331029 0.553531 0.939308
2025-12-21 0.032505 0.060081 0.107177 0.192664 0.343067 0.595445 1.049299
2025-12-28 0.029973 0.057707 0.106899 0.199522 0.368424 0.661664 1.206922
2026-01-04 0.028033 0.056082 0.107638 0.208104 0.397554 0.737105 1.388465
2026-01-11 0.025860 0.053678 0.106582 0.213122 0.420564 0.803813 1.561140
2026-01-18 0.023477 0.050500 0.103616 0.214031 0.435755 0.857511 1.715011
2026-01-25 0.020403 0.045647 0.097098 0.207843 0.437875 0.889612 1.837090
2026-02-01 0.017368 0.040426 0.089170 0.197826 0.431301 0.904672 1.928877
2026-02-08 0.015592 0.037671 0.085969 0.197222 0.443978 0.959399 2.107365
2026-02-15 0.013672 0.034265 0.080858 0.191698 0.445293 0.990664 2.240210
2026-02-22 0.012655 0.032822 0.079905 0.195319 0.467110 1.067619 2.480028
2026-03-01 0.011507 0.030869 0.077495 0.195205 0.480366 1.127315 2.688486
2026-03-08 0.010221 0.028357 0.073390 0.190453 0.482115 1.161356 2.842494
2026-03-15 0.009308 0.026668 0.071059 0.189719 0.493366 1.218345 3.056397
2026-03-22 0.008864 0.026171 0.071662 0.196475 0.523935 1.324116 3.398779
2026-03-29 0.008526 0.025917 0.072857 0.204929 0.559850 1.446692 3.796038
2026-04-05 0.008055 0.025208 0.072742 0.209873 0.587276 1.551374 4.160367